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UL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Unilever's expansion into premium markets and successful brand investments signal potential upside. Strategic growth initiatives boost investor confidence amid stable volatility.

Bearish Case: Regulatory scrutiny and geopolitical tensions persist as challenges, with stable low volatility indicating limited upward price movement soon. Negative price trends suggest downside risk.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of stable or slight price increase from strategic growth initiatives. 30% risk of decline due to regulatory issues. 10% chance of unforeseen geopolitical impacts negatively affecting price.

Trading Oracle: Opt for a bullish credit spread via short volatility. Target March expiration: sell $55 put, buy $52.5 put. Atmosphere of low volatility offers favorable risk/reward ratio with a high probability of profit from premium decay, leveraging flat price action.

February 19, 2025

Unilever Forecast

UL Unilever

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

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Assets that tend to move strongly against UL

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BBWI Bath & Body Works (-0.87)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.88)

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