UPS Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: UPS is positioned for growth with increasing short-term implied volatility and strong e-commerce demand. This environment could translate into robust revenue gains as strategic initiatives bolster market competitiveness.




Bearish Case: High short-term implied volatility and labor concerns highlight potential operational disruptions, which, coupled with competitive pressures, may induce downside risk in UPS stock performance.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 35%: Competitive pricing and strategic expansions increase market share.
  2. 30%: Labor negotiations result in unexpected disruptions.
  3. 35%: Sustained volatility leads to unpredictable price changes.



April 14, 2025


United Parcel Service, Inc. - Forecast

UPS        United Parcel Service, Inc. -











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