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UPS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Stabilizing implied volatility and historical upward trends signal potential recovery. E-commerce demand may boost revenue.

Bearish Case: Flat price action and low trading volume highlight potential stagnation. Recent SEC penalty could deter investor confidence.

Potential Outcomes: 45%: Moderate gain with increased e-commerce demand. 30%: Stagnation due to low trading volume. 25%: Decline from operational inefficiencies.

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread by purchasing February $125 calls and selling $130 calls. Timeframe: 4-6 weeks. This strategy leverages expected near-term gains and stabilizing volatility post-holiday season. Aligns with modest upside forecast and high reward:risk ratio.

January 12, 2025

United Parcel Service, Inc. - Forecast

UPS United Parcel Service, Inc. -

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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