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USAC Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: High demand for natural gas compression services could surge, particularly as energy prices stabilize. This is supported by historical trends showing positive returns over specific holding periods and a stable dividend yield that may attract income-focused investors.

Bearish Case: Increasing uncertainty in macroeconomic conditions could lead to lower demand for compression services, negatively impacting revenues. High implied volatility suggests risk of significant price swings, further indicating potential downside pressure on USAC.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Increase in compression demand (30%);

2) Continued mean reversion leading to price stabilization (40%);

3) High volatility results in significant price drops (30%) driven by economic downturns.

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November 17, 2024

USA Compression Forecast

USAC USA Compression

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USAC

CLF Cleveland-Cliffs (0.84)

ALGN Align Technology (0.83)

BLMN Bloomin Brands (0.82)

LKQ LKQ (0.82)

AAP Advance Auto Parts (0.81)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USAC

S Sprint (-0.0)

PDD Pinduoduo (0.01)

CCJ Cameco (0.01)

RJF Raymond James Financial (0.01)

CAPR Capricor Therapeutics (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USAC

KTOS Kratos Defense & Security (-0.74)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.75)

PNW Pinnacle West (-0.76)

BTI British American Tobacco (-0.76)

SRE Sempra Energy (-0.78)

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