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VAL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Increased offshore drilling demand and anticipated capital expenditures could drive valuation up. Helium's implied volatility suggests potential profit in bullish strategies due to prevailing market optimism.



Bearish Case: Current mean reversion in VAL's price and reduced trading volume signal investor hesitancy. Additionally, Oak Hill's reduced stake may create further downward pressure on stock confidence.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 35% chance of recovery in demand boosting prices.

2. 30% probability of a market downturn due to institutional sell-offs and sentiment shifts.

3. 35% neutral scenario reflecting mixed economic data.



Trading Oracle: Engage a bullish long volatility strategy. Consider buying 1 $57.50 VAL call and selling 1 $60.00 VAL call expiring in January. This captures high implied volatility while managing risk, featuring a favorable reward-to-risk ratio and a 23% probability of profit.


November 13, 2024


Valaris Forecast

VAL        Valaris

4 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

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20 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

36 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

49 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VAL


MRNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRNA  Moderna (0.87)


SVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SVIX  VS Trust - 1x Short VIX Futures (0.85)


CIVI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CIVI  Civitas Resources Inc New (0.85)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (0.82)


CTRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTRA  Coterra Energy (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VAL


BC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BC  Brunswick (-0.0)


FLGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLGT  Fulgent Genetics (-0.0)


IR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IR  Ingersoll-Rand (-0.0)


IQV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IQV  IQVIA (0.0)


DAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAL  Delta Air Lines (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VAL


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.77)


CCOI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCOI  Cogent Communications (-0.77)


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (-0.77)


SAVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAVA  Cassava Sciences (-0.78)


CLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLX  Clorox (-0.8)







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