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VAL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Rising oil demand and capital expenditures in offshore drilling support a bullish outlook for Valaris as these trends could enhance revenue prospects.



Bearish Case: Low trading volume and market hesitancy, combined with geopolitical risks, suggest potential downside pressure on Valaris' stock price.



Potential Outcomes: 40% probability of moderate growth driven by offshore drilling; 30% chance of sideways movement; 30% risk of downside due to geopolitical tensions.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish short volatility strategy: Sell 1 $40 strike put, buy 2 $35 puts expiring in ~31 days. High PoP, favorable risk-reward profile, and a positive edge suggest a profitable setup.


February 19, 2025


Valaris Forecast

VAL        Valaris

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