VB Forecast


Bullish Case: The sustained bullish risk being 35% higher than bearish risk [Helium] and increased call option volume [Helium] suggest potential upward movement. AI forecast correlates positively with this direction [Helium].


Bearish Case: Current VB implied volatility is high across different strike prices and time horizons [VentureBeat], indicating market participants expect near-term elevated volatility, which could pressure price downward.


Potential Outcomes: Sideways movement: ~50% [VentureBeat] - Neutral historical returns; Moderate rise: ~25%; Moderate decline: ~15%; Major movement (either direction): ~10%.


Trading Oracle: Launch bear call credit spreads exploiting high implied volatility . Sell Aug 235.00 C and buy Aug 240.00 C for limited risk and high probability-of-profit strategy over the next 28-74 days.


July 20, 2024


Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Small Cap Forecast

VB      Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Small Cap











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VB



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.49)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.57)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.58)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VB



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.49)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.57)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.58)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VB



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.49)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.57)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.58)





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