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VLY Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: VLY may rally as the bank pivots from heavy CRE exposure. The $400M capital raise strengthens its balance sheet and unlocks growth opportunities, leading to improved sentiment.

Bearish Case: Continuing concerns over VLY's high commercial real estate exposure may pressure its stock price. The likelihood of macroeconomic challenges could lead to further declines.

Potential Outcomes: 45% chance of rebounding to $12 due to growth from capital raise.
30% chance trading sideways around $10-$11 from market adjustments.
25% chance of falling to $9 due to persistent market skepticism.

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December 15, 2024

Valley National Bancorp Forecast

VLY Valley National Bancorp

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Assets that tend to move strongly with VLY

ILMN Illumina (0.81)

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EPR EPR Properties (0.8)

FHI Federated Hermes (0.76)

RDFN Redfin (0.76)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VLY

VOD Vodafone (0.0)

KO Coca-Cola (0.0)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (-0.01)

SCHW Charles Schwab (-0.02)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VLY

VAL Valaris (-0.69)

OGN Organon (-0.7)

BNO United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (-0.73)

FANG Diamondback Energy (-0.75)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.8)

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