VNQ Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: VNQ could rebound due to positive economic indicators and a higher call volume, signaling potential demand increase in real estate Helium.




Bearish Case: Economic instability and high volatility risks foreshadow potential declines, with macroeconomic pressures possibly pushing values lower Helium.




Potential Outcomes: 40% chance continued flat performance; 30% chance downturn due to macroeconomic factors; 30% chance rebound from economic stabilization.




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January 15, 2025


Vanguard Real Estate Index Forecast

VNQ        Vanguard Real Estate Index











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VNQ



ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (0.94)


SHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHW  Sherwin-Williams (0.93)


RDFN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RDFN  Redfin (0.89)


AFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AFL  Aflac (0.87)


SPYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYV  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VNQ



KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.0)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.0)


JOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JOE  St. Joe (0.01)


CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (-0.02)


ROOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROOT  Root (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VNQ



SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.76)


BLDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLDP  Ballard Power Systems (-0.77)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.78)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.8)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.83)









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