VNQ Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Recent higher call volumes, coupled with easing economic pressures, suggest potential upside. Implied vol remains stable, indicating a chance for gradual VNQ price recovery.




Bearish Case: Flat price action and previous downturns suggest lingering risks. Elevated put volumes highlight market caution, foreshadowing potential downside, especially with unresolved economic uncertainties.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued flat performance 50% - market inertia and historical patterns support this.

2. Moderate upside 30% - driven by investor optimism and easing rates.

3. Downside risk 20% - tied to unforeseen macro pressures.




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July 12, 2025


Vanguard Real Estate Index Forecast

VNQ        Vanguard Real Estate Index











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VNQ



DRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRN  Direxion Real Estate Bull 3x Shares (0.97)


SPHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPHD  Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Vol (0.84)


GRBK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GRBK  Green Brick (0.81)


SCHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHD  Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.81)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VNQ



TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.0)


AIQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AIQ  Global X Funds - Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology (0.0)


UAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAL  United Airlines (0.01)


CPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPS  Cooper-Standard (0.01)


BYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYD  Boyd Gaming (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VNQ



GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.47)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (-0.48)


IDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IDN  Intellicheck (-0.5)


OKTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OKTA  Okta (-0.61)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.62)









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