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VNQ Forecast + Trading Strategies

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: High call volume and backwardation suggest potential upside as investors position for growth and interest rate stabilization benefits VNQ's yield attraction.

Bearish Case: Persistently high implied volatility, despite recent backwardation, reflects uncertainty from economic pressures, potential rate hikes, and real estate sector challenges.

Potential Outcomes: 40%: Continued flat performance amid mixed signals.
35%: Moderate recovery led by bullish position and economic recovery.
25%: Downside risk influenced by interest rate hikes and economic instability.

May 06, 2025

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