VXX Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: VXX's historical low likelihood and potential upward pressure from market shocks coupled with elevated Helium's implied volatility above market levels suggest potential for short-term appreciation.




Bearish Case: Past performance and current sentiment indicate persistent downtrend due to VXX's decaying nature and flat volatility surface; this aligns with low market sentiment and high put volume.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 20% chance of a short-term spike from unexpected market events.
  • 60% likelihood of continuing the flat-to-bearish trend.
  • 20% chance of moderate uptick if risk appetite shifts.




Trading Oracle: Bullish Short Volatility strategy works best due to high implied volatility and Helium’s positive outlook: [Helium Trading Strategy](https://heliumtrades.com/forecast/VXX/premium-printer/put). This captures decay with limited risk and leverages favorable market conditions.



April 22, 2025


iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Forecast

VXX        iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VXX



VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (1.0)


UL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UL  Unilever (0.74)


SBAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBAC  SBA Communications (0.73)


PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (0.69)


ADC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADC  Agree Realty (0.65)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VXX



OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (-0.0)


DAVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAVE  Dave (0.01)


EPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPI  WisdomTree India Earnings (-0.01)


UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (-0.01)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VXX



NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (-0.75)


HXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HXL  Hexcel (-0.75)


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (-0.77)


RXRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RXRX  Recursion Pharmaceuticals (-0.79)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.84)









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