VYM Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Market conditions suggesting a decline in interest rates could lead to increased demand for VYM's yielding stocks, potentially driving the price upward. Recent historical returns also indicate a substantial chance of positive performance.




Bearish Case: Elevated market uncertainty and high implied volatility may lead to sell-offs as investors remain cautious. The impending election cycle adds additional pressure, which may negatively affect VYM's price.




Potential Outcomes:

1) Minor gains (50%): stabilization from favorable dividend sentiments.

2) Moderate decline (30%): heightened volatility due to economic concerns.

3) Stagnation (20%): flat movement as investors await clarity on economic signals.




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October 20, 2024


Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx Forecast

VYM        Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VYM



SPYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYV  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (0.99)


DGRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DGRO  iShares Core Dividend Growth (0.99)


FAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FAS  Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares (0.99)


KIE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KIE  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR S&P Insurance (0.98)


VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.98)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VYM



BUD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BUD  Anheuser-Busch (-0.0)


NDSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NDSN  Nordson (-0.01)


AMBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMBA  Ambarella (0.01)


GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (0.01)


ACN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACN  Accenture (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VYM



SEDG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEDG  Solaredge (-0.9)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.91)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.91)


SAVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAVE  Spirit Airlines (-0.91)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.97)









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