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AI WEBS Forecast

Bullish Case: Anticipated tech sector recovery may drive WEBS price higher, supported by mean reversion patterns illustrated in historical returns. Strong implied volatility suggests potential for upward price movement.

Bearish Case: Market sentiment remains bearish, with high implied volatility indicating uncertainty. Continued declines may be supported by macroeconomic factors affecting tech stocks.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued Decline (50%): Ongoing bearish trends in tech.

2. Short-term Rebound (30%): Mean reversion from current lows.

3. Sideways Trading (20%): High volatility with unclear direction.

Trading Oracle: Consider executing a bullish debit spread with WEBS 09/20/2024 9.00 C and 10.00 C to capitalize on possible price recovery. Focus on high implied volatility to enhance risk-reward profile.

August 21, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with WEBS

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (0.87)

SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (0.87)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (0.87)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (0.87)

SRTY ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WEBS

SVOL Simplify Volatility Premium (-0.0)

MCD McDonald's (0.0)

LSXMA Liberty Media Corp. (Tracking Stock - SiriusXM) Series (0.0)

INTA Intapp (-0.0)

XRX Xerox (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WEBS

AMZN Amazon.com (-0.91)

ARKW ARK Next Generation Internet (-0.92)

ARKF ARK Fintech Innovation (-0.92)

LRCX Lam Research (-0.92)

SPHB Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco S&P 500 High Beta (-0.93)

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