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WEBS Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: WEBS could capitalize on a tech sector rebound, with high implied volatility indicating potential for upward movements, enhanced by mean reversion trends.



Bearish Case: Persistent high implied volatility and negative historical trends suggest sustained bearish sentiment, possibly driven by broader tech sector downturns.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Short-term Rebound (40%): Mean reversion and tech stabilization.

2. Continued Decline (50%): High volatility and negative sentiment.

3. Sideways Trading (10%): No clear directional catalyst.



Trading Oracle: Execute bearish credit spreads using ITM WEBS options with short maturities (30-60 days). This strategy offers high likelihood of profit capturing premium amidst high implied volatility and ongoing negative sentiment. Focus on $29 strike puts for optimal positioning.


February 25, 2025


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