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WEED Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong implied volatility in call options suggests potential upward movement, supported by increasing societal acceptance and possible regulatory easing.

Bearish Case: Price declines and high implied volatility in puts indicate sustained bearish sentiment, exacerbated by regulatory and economic uncertainties.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Favorable regulatory change boosts prices (30%).

2. Economic downturn continues decline (40%).

3. Increased CBD demand aids growth (20%).

4. External shocks impact market (10%).

May 29, 2025

Forecast

WEED

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with WEED

STNG Scorpio Tankers (0.95)

ASH Ashland (0.95)

CVE Cenovus Energy (0.95)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (0.93)

XRX Xerox (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WEED

SNY Sanofi (0.02)

ETR Entergy (-0.03)

MRVL Marvell Technology (0.03)

FITB Fifth Third Bancorp (0.03)

BIP Brookfield Infrastructure (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WEED

COMP Compass (-0.84)

PPL PPL (-0.87)

CORT Corcept Therapeutics (-0.88)

UNM Unum (-0.89)

LRN Stride (-0.91)

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