WEN Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Wendy's digital enhancements and potential new menu launch may drive customer engagement amid low volatility conditions, hinting at a price recovery.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent price declines suggest risk from competitive pressures and economic factors affecting consumer spending.




Potential Outcomes:

1) Stable pricing, 70%.

2) Uptick due to strategic promotions, 30%.




Trading Oracle: Initiate credit spreads targeting near-term expirations, leveraging backwardation in IV. Capture premium in likely stable price environment while hedging with long calls for unexpected bullish shifts.



February 11, 2025


Wendy's Forecast

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