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WMG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: WMG's strategic acquisitions and digital investments position it for growth in a thriving streaming market. Sustained digital revenue and AI strategies support bullish sentiment.

Bearish Case: Persistent high valuation and volatility, coupled with competition and potential regulatory hurdles, pose risks. Overvaluation concerns remain amid mean-reverting trends.

Potential Outcomes: Digital initiatives succeed, boosting growth (40%).
Regulatory/commercial setbacks impact stock negatively (30%).
Overvaluation corrections lead to price pullback (30%).

March 12, 2025

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WMG Warner Music

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Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with WMG

TALK Talkspace (0.72)

TAL TAL Education (0.7)

MNST Monster Beverage (0.68)

TDOC Teladoc Health (0.67)

LAC Lithium Americas (0.66)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WMG

CBOE Cboe Global Markets (0.0)

CRS Carpenter Technology (-0.0)

TW Tradeweb Markets (0.0)

ALHC Alignment Healthcare (-0.0)

TGTX TG Therapeutics (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WMG

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.54)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (-0.55)

AMRC Ameresco (-0.58)

AMC AMC Entertainment (-0.59)

FSLR First Solar (-0.68)

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