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WMG Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: WMG's strategic digital initiatives and partnerships continue to expand its market presence, leveraging AI and streaming to drive significant revenue growth.



Bearish Case: Overvaluation concerns persist, reflected in a high price-to-book ratio and increased legal challenges could amplify downside risk and correction potential.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 50%: Continued growth from digital and AI integration driving revenues.
  • 30%: Market correction from high valuation and legal challenges.
  • 20%: Flat market action with strategic initiatives offsetting risks.



Trading Oracle: Initiate bull call spreads using $30C-$31C, targeting a modest uptrend over a 3-month period. Current high implied volatility and digital growth support a bullish stance. Focus on positive earnings surprise potential.


February 11, 2025


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WMG        Warner Music

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TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.77)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (0.76)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WMG


COF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COF  Capital One Financial (-0.0)


KRP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KRP  Kimbell Royalty Partners (-0.0)


CQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CQQQ  Invesco China Technology (0.0)


LMND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LMND  Lemonade (0.01)


DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WMG


LLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LLY  Lilly(Eli) (-0.65)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.69)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.71)


NG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NG  Novagold Resources (-0.73)


BLBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLBD  Blue Bird (-0.74)







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