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WMT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Walmart's strategic tech investments and e-commerce expansion continue to attract customers, improving sales despite economic challenges. Consumer engagement, bolstered by innovative logistics, supports optimism.

Bearish Case: High inflation and potential recession risk threaten Walmart's core business, overshadowing operational gains. Legal issues remain a constant pressure, impacting consumer trust and corporate reputation.

Potential Outcomes: 50%: Tech-driven growth boosts sales.
30%: Macroeconomic pressures lead to revenue drop.
20%: Legal setbacks harm reputation.

Trading Oracle: Engage in a bullish debit spread: Buy WMT $98 call options, sell $100 calls. Exp. ~30 days. Helium suggests elevated volatility is favorable for long vol strategies. Strong reward:risk as Walmart's tech optimism outweighs macro risks.

January 30, 2025

Walmart Forecast

WMT Walmart

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WMT

TSN Tyson Foods (-0.0)

CRNC Cerence (0.0)

AMC AMC Entertainment (0.0)

SGRY Surgery (-0.01)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WMT

RIG Transocean (-0.77)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.78)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (-0.79)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.81)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.85)

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