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WOLF Forecast

Bullish Case: Wolfspeed's rapid progress on its $5 billion JP silicon carbide plant, capable of significantly expanding material capacity, hints at a future market leader well-positioned as electric vehicle and AI demand soar.

Bearish Case: Wolfspeed's stock has tumbled, and while its JP plant promises future growth, operational challenges and a mean-reverting price history suggest a potential downside in the near term.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful JP plant ramp-up (30% chance);

2. Further operational issues (40% chance);

3. Short-term volatility from market events (30% chance).

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April 11, 2024

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