Bullish Case: The combination of strategic asset focus, mean-reverting historical trends, and strong investor sentiment could drive WPC's price upward, supported by long-term dividend stability.

Bearish Case: Ongoing market volatility, rising interest rates, and execution risks related to strategic changes may lead to further declines in WPC's stock price, impacting investor confidence.

Potential Outcomes:

• 40%: Stock stabilizes around $54-$58 due to consistent dividend payments.
• 30%: Short-term bearish trends persist, leading to further volatility.
• 20%: Strategic restructuring positively impacts share price.
• 10%: External economic shocks create significant downside risks.

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish credit spread: sell 1 $55 put and buy 2 $50 puts, targeting a high probability outcome (73%) due to mean reversion. Potential return of 33% aligns well with current risk-reward dynamics, capitalizing on WPC’s stability amidst market fluctuations.

December 19, 2024