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WPC Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: WPC is positioned for recovery as its strategic focus on industrial properties enhances cash flow stability. Recent bullish sentiment indicates potential upside, supported by historical mean reversion patterns. Strong dividend yields attract income-focused investors, signaling confidence in steady returns.



Bearish Case: Rising interest rates and high operational costs pose significant risks to WPC's profitability. Elevated implied volatility suggests market uncertainty, likely leading to price declines. If inflation cools substantially, it could adversely affect lease income and diminish stock performance.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Strong revenue growth drives a 25% price increase (40% probability).

2. Prolonged financial strain from rising interest rates leads to a 15% decline (30% probability).

3. Strategic acquisitions stabilize earnings, yielding a 10% surge (20% probability).

4. Economic downturn hits REIT demand, resulting in a 40% drop (10% probability).



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November 15, 2024


W. P. Carey Forecast

WPC        W. P. Carey

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with WPC


OLPX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLPX  Olaplex (0.79)


EPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPR  EPR Properties (0.76)


CCI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCI  Crown Castle International (0.75)


EXPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXPI  eXp World (0.72)


IJH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IJH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.72)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WPC


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (0.0)


HRB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HRB  H&R Block (0.0)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.0)


RXRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RXRX  Recursion Pharmaceuticals (-0.0)


BITF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BITF  Bitfarms (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WPC


UCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCO  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.64)


DIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIS  Walt Disney (-0.64)


CPRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPRT  Copart (-0.66)


USO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USO  United States Commodity Funds (-0.7)


BNO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BNO  United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (-0.71)







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