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WY Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Weyerhaeuser's initiatives in sustainability and strategic market positioning could bolster investor confidence and drive growth, given low current valuations.



Bearish Case: Persisting macroeconomic challenges, high interest rates, and labor shortages may continue to suppress demand, potentially leading to further declines in WY pricing.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Strong Q1 earnings boost: 45%
  • Further price decline due to macro challenges: 55%



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish diagonal spread. Buy long-dated $30 calls and sell short-dated $32 calls. This strategy leverages potential price recovery while managing risk effectively. Consider the 30-day horizon given implied volatility conditions. High probability of profit if price reverts to mean.


January 23, 2025


Weyerhaeuser Forecast

WY        Weyerhaeuser

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with WY


CWH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWH  Camping World (0.81)


ODFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODFL  Old Dominion Freight Line (0.76)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.75)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.71)


ABEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABEV  Ambev (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WY


TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (-0.0)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (0.0)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.01)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (0.01)


FLNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNC  Fluence Energy (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WY


MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (-0.56)


GTE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTE  Gran Tierra Energy (-0.57)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (-0.6)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.63)


GME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GME  Gamestop (-0.69)







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