YUM Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Yum's tech-focused strategies and recent positive sentiment could boost stock price. The implied volatility is stable, suggesting confidence in future performance.


Bearish Case: Geopolitical issues and negative market sentiment could drag down YUM's price. The flat term structure with Helium's higher volatility forecast indicates increased downside risk.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 60%: Stable growth due to effective tech integrations and loyalty initiatives.

2. 30%: Short-term price decline from geopolitical tensions.

3. 10%: Market saturation leads to flat performance.


Trading Oracle: Sell July $125 puts, buy $130 puts. Engaging in this bullish credit spread leverages the current low volatility and favorable conditions. High reward-risk ratio with a high probability of profit supported by current market data.


July 03, 2024


Yum Brands Forecast

YUM      Yum Brands











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with YUM



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.76)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.44)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.3)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.47)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to YUM



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.3)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.44)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.47)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.76)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against YUM



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.76)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.44)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.3)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.47)





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