Metaculus Media Bias

AI Generated News Bias (?): The content provided appears to be prediction market data, likely generated algorithmically, without any clear ideological bias.

The markets cover a politically and geographically diverse range of topics without focusing disproportionately on any particular region, party or issue.

There are no emotionally charged words or obvious attempts to promote a certain perspective. [Metaculus-18]
Helium AI Bias: Helium AI has biases from Helium AI's training data and background, but aimed to analyze the source objectively.


November 05, 2023


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Metaculus Social Media Impact (?): 0



Metaculus Most Emotional Articles


😠 Prediction Market: What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Forward) 0%

😠 Prediction Market: What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Libertarian) 1%

😠 Prediction Market: What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Republican) 46%

😠 Prediction Market: What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Democratic) 49%

😠 Prediction Market: What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Green) 1%

😠 Prediction Market: In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors? 97%

😠 Prediction Market: Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026? 4%

😠 Prediction Market: On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? 98%




Metaculus Most Prescriptive Articles    

Prediction Market: Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025? 48%

Prediction Market: If Donald J. Trump is convicted in the classified documents case, how many months of imprisonment will he be sentenced to? 6%

Prediction Market: Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election? 73%

Prediction Market: What percentage of the popular vote will the African National Congress get in the 2024 South African general election? 20%

Prediction Market: Will the Republic of Ireland abandon the policy of military neutrality before 2030? 25%

Prediction Market: Russian Coup or Regime Change before 2024? (Yes) → Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024? 40%

Prediction Market: Russian Coup or Regime Change before 2024? (No) → Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024? 2%

Prediction Market: AI-driven attack on US election on Facebook (Yes) → When AI concern go mainstream in US? 18%





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