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GF Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Increased cooperation between Germany and China, easing of U.S.-EU trade tensions, and improved German market conditions could drive GF growth potential.

Bearish Case: Persistent economic instability in Germany, political challenges, historical underperformance, and high implied volatility suggest ongoing downward pressure on GF.

Potential Outcomes: Technological breakthroughs (20%)
Regulatory shifts (15%)
Economic downturn (30%)
Political instability (25%)
Internal scandals (10%)

May 28, 2025

New Germany Forecast

GF New Germany

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