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IBM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: IBM's $150B U.S. investment and strong AI/cloud focus, alongside a 116% price increase over 2 years, underscore growth potential amidst low historical returns volatility.

Bearish Case: Continued insider selling, insider skepticism, and market competition could strain IBM's ambitious $150B investment, impacting future stability and returns.

Potential Outcomes: AI/cloud growth sparks uptrend (35%)
Insider selling spurs downside (45%)
Stable market balancing (20%)

May 15, 2025

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