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Bullish Case: IBM's involvement in future-oriented sectors like AI and quantum computing underpins its growth potential. The historical price return surface indicates pockets of consistent positive returns, suggesting an underlying resilience in the stock.


Bearish Case: Long-term performance concerns persist due to insider selling and a historical negative trend over ten years. A flat options term structure and low trading volume signal a lack of conviction in the stock's near-term growth.


Potential Outcomes:

1. IBM's AI and cloud investments drive share price gains (30%).

2. Insider selling or lackluster earnings lead to stock underperformance (40%).

3. IBM trades sideways due to market indecision (30%).


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April 05, 2024


International Business Machines Forecast

IBM        International Business Machines
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






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IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [IONQ]  IonQ (-0.0)


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AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AMC]  AMC Entertainment (-0.92)


RVNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [RVNC]  Revance Therapeutics (-0.92)


PBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PBT]  Permian Basin Royalty (-0.93)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [UVXY]  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.95)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VXX]  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.97)





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