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Bullish Case: PAGS's strong institutional backing, year-over-year price appreciation, and bullish risk outstripping bearish risk suggests potential stability and growth.


Bearish Case: With PAGS trading significantly below historical prices, minimal option volume, and flat recent price action, further decline is a pertinent risk.


Potential Outcomes: Recovery with new market entrants: 20%. Stable trading with high institutional influence: 50%. Market correction due to AI’s overestimated volatility: 30%.


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April 11, 2024


PagSeguro Digital Forecast

PAGS        PagSeguro Digital
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: RANDOM (?)











Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with PAGS



LQDA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LQDA  Liquidia (0.92)


CNI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNI  Canadian National Railway (0.92)


IEFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEFA  BTC iShares Core MSCI EAF (0.92)


XBI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XBI  SPDR Biotech (0.92)


C Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   C  Citigroup (0.91)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to PAGS



EVRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EVRG  Evergy (-0.0)


TXG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TXG  10x Genomics (0.0)


FSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSK  FS KKR (-0.0)


SIRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIRI  Sirius XM (0.0)


ROKU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROKU  Roku (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against PAGS



RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.8)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.8)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.82)


SRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRS  ProShares UltraShort Real Estate (-0.82)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.82)





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