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Bullish Case: Insider transactions and increasing institutional stakes suggest confidence. E-commerce demand remains strong, supporting occupancy rates and rent growth for STAG Industrial.


Bearish Case: Potential economic downturn could decrease industrial space demand, increasing vacancy rates, and pressure yield. High dividend payout ratio may not be sustainable, threatening returns.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued demand drives further growth (60%);

2) Economic recession lowers occupancy, affecting yield (30%);

3) Interest rates rise, challenging valuations (10%).


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April 17, 2024


STAG Industrial Forecast

STAG        STAG Industrial
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






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SPGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SPGI]  S&P Global (0.9)


ARKK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ARKK]  ARK Innovation (0.9)


AX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AX]  Axos Financial (0.9)


APAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [APAM]  Artisan Partners Asset (0.89)


WCLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [WCLD]  WisdomTree Cloud Computing (0.89)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to STAG



HOLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HOLX]  Hologic (-0.0)


INCY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [INCY]  Incyte (0.0)


COO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [COO]  Cooper Companies (0.0)


WMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [WMT]  Walmart (0.0)


AES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AES]  AES (0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against STAG



SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SPXS]  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)


SRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SRS]  ProShares UltraShort Real Estate (-0.88)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TZA]  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.89)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SRTY]  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.89)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [DRV]  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.89)





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