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VNQ Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: High call volume and backwardation suggest potential upside as investors position for growth and interest rate stabilization benefits VNQ's yield attraction.

Bearish Case: Persistently high implied volatility, despite recent backwardation, reflects uncertainty from economic pressures, potential rate hikes, and real estate sector challenges.

Potential Outcomes: 40%: Continued flat performance amid mixed signals.
35%: Moderate recovery led by bullish position and economic recovery.
25%: Downside risk influenced by interest rate hikes and economic instability.

May 06, 2025

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VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VNQ

SPYD SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend (0.93)

SCHD Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.83)

IRM Iron Mountain (0.83)

BIP Brookfield Infrastructure (0.81)

RY Royal Bank Of Canada (0.79)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VNQ

HBM Hudbay Minerals (0.02)

SIG Signet Jewelers (0.02)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (-0.03)

FSLR First Solar (0.03)

UUUU Energy Fuels (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VNQ

BA Boeing (-0.57)

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.59)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.66)

ETR Entergy (-0.68)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.76)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.