RCL Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: RCL's innovative experiences and strong fleet expansion fuel optimism. Implied volatility stabilizes, suggesting potential price growth aligned with strong booking trends.




Bearish Case: Operational challenges and heightened competition may hinder growth. High implied volatility exposes risk of price declines, especially given recent backwardation.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Fleet expansion and demand boost price (50%).
  • Operational setbacks limit growth (35%).
  • Major economic downturn impacts demand (15%).



April 28, 2025


Royal Caribbean Forecast

RCL        Royal Caribbean











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