AAT Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: AAT's real estate diversification and strong asset management can enhance growth potential. Implied volatility favoring upside trades is attractive.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and negative historical returns imply ongoing risk. Economic pressures and mean reversion amplify downside concerns.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of continued mean reversion aligning with historical trends.

2. 35% likelihood of decline due to external market pressures.

3. 25% chance of mild gains from strategic assets.




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January 24, 2025


American Assets Forecast

AAT        American Assets
















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