AAT Forecast


Bullish Case: AAT’s rise of 16.8% from last year capably demonstrates resilience amid geopolitical tensions. Strong institutional backing further fosters underlying strength ([defenseworld.net], [defenseworld.net]).


Bearish Case: The high implied volatility options ([Helium], [Yahoo]) and -35.9% drop from ten years ago ([Helium]) underscore potential instability amplified by the geopolitical landscape ([newscubic.co.in], [The American Conservative]).


Potential Outcomes:

1. High geopolitical risks (-24.7% from 2 years) impacting prices (45%). ([cna.al], [newscubic.co.in])

2. Continued mean reversion indicators (50%). ([Helium], [Helium])

3. Institutional buying sustaining mild uptrend (30%).


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June 28, 2024


American Assets Forecast

AAT      American Assets











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AAT



DPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DPST  Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares (0.9)


KRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KRE  SPDR S&P Regional Banking (0.87)


BXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BXP  Boston Properties (0.8)


WAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WAL  Western Alliance Bancorp (0.79)


AX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AX  Axos Financial (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AAT



EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (-0.0)


EBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EBS  Emergent Biosolutions (0.0)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.0)


NOV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOV  NOV (-0.0)


CNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNQ  Canadian Natural Resources (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AAT



DBI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBI  Designer Brands (-0.62)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.66)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.72)


UUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUP  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.72)


SRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRS  ProShares UltraShort Real Estate (-0.74)





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