AAT Forecast


Bullish Case: AAT's diversified portfolio and strong institutional support position it well for recovery, especially with positive real estate trends and potential for Q2 earnings beats.


Bearish Case: Continued geopolitical tensions and high debt-to-equity ratio pose significant risks, potentially leading to further corrections in AAT's stock price amid likely earnings underperformance.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of Q2 earnings outperforming expectations due to diversified holdings.

2. 45% chance of a market correction reflecting geopolitical risks.

3. 15% chance of institutional buying spurring a mild uptrend.


Trading Oracle: Adopt a bearish stance; consider trading credit spreads (Helium Short Volatility) targeting a decline in AAT over the next 6 months. With high implied volatility, selling premium on puts offers attractive risk/reward, anticipating a drop towards $22.


July 24, 2024


American Assets Forecast

AAT      American Assets











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AAT



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.52)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.0)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.12)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.35)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AAT



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.0)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.12)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.35)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.52)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AAT



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.52)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.0)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.12)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.35)





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