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AB Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AB's innovation focus and strong ESG initiatives position it well for long-term growth amidst positive social sentiment, with moderate call option implied vols suggesting upward potential.

Bearish Case: AB's high implied volatility reflects underlying uncertainty; macroeconomic pressures and competitor challenges may dampen near-term growth prospects.

Potential Outcomes: A 45% chance of growth from innovation initiatives; 30% chance of market volatility impacting shares; 15% risk from regulatory challenges; 10% chance of broader downturn.

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish vertical call debit spread using AB $40C/$45C for April 2025 expiry. Moderate implied volatility and positive sentiment offer a high reward-to-risk ratio. Exploit increased call volume and moderate delta for optimal edge.

January 14, 2025

AllianceBernstein Forecast

AB AllianceBernstein

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AB

LYV Live Nation Entertainment (0.82)

IWR BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.8)

MIR Mirion Technologies Inc. (0.79)

UNM Unum (0.77)

CYBR CyberArk Software (0.77)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AB

MT New York Shares (0.01)

WY Weyerhaeuser (-0.02)

CMC Commercial Metals (0.02)

PATH UiPath (0.03)

LLY Lilly(Eli) (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AB

VAL Valaris (-0.64)

CNXC Concentrix (-0.65)

BIIB Biogen (-0.67)

VSAT Viasat (-0.68)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.75)

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