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ESG Forecast

Price Forecast:

80% Confidence

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: ESG historical returns show potential for moderate gains over longer holding periods, coupled with cautious optimism in social media sentiment.

Bearish Case: Political and regulatory pressures, including anti-ESG legislation and claims of greenwashing, pose ongoing risks to ESG valuations.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Regulatory clarity boosts ESG adoption (35%).

2. Ongoing political pressures dampen growth (30%).

3. Sustained market volatility impacts prices negatively (20%).

4. Increased scrutiny of greenwashing practices (15%).

Trading Oracle: Consider long debit spreads (Helium Long Volatility) with a 12-24 month horizon, supported by heightened implied volatility in SPY options. Focus on companies with robust ESG adherence, balancing potential upside with put options for downside protection.

December 26, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ESG

SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (0.99)

SPLG SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (0.99)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.99)

KKR KKR (0.97)

ORCL Oracle (0.96)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ESG

ARR ARMOUR Residential REIT (-0.0)

SHEL Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (0.0)

FANG Diamondback Energy (-0.0)

SAVA Cassava Sciences (0.01)

DKNG DraftKings (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ESG

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.87)

JACK Jack In The Box (-0.87)

XRAY DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.88)

SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.99)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.99)

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Market Forecasts

Bullish / Bearish

Digital Assets / Most Accurate

Trading Strategies

Long Volatility

Short Volatility

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Balanced News / Sources

Tech / Memes / Politics

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.