AFMD Forecast


Bullish Case: AFMD has shown encouraging clinical results with AFM24 in NSCLC, promising cash runway, and significant analyst target upgrades indicating strong upside potential. Positive market sentiment and Ongoing trials bolster the bullish case.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility, flat recent price action, and potential regulatory delays or trial failures present risks. The overall historical return surface shows frequent negative returns, indicating substantial downside risk.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Positive clinical outcomes (60%), price ↑.

2) Negative trial data or delays (30%), price ↓.

3) Mixed outcomes, minimal price change (10%).


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July 16, 2024


Affimed Forecast

AFMD      Affimed











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AFMD



OMER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMER  Omeros (0.75)


BBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBY  Best Buy (0.68)


MGNI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGNI  Magnite (0.67)


QGEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QGEN  Qiagen (0.67)


COMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMP  Compass (0.66)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AFMD



CBOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBOE  Cboe Global Markets (-0.0)


CCJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCJ  Cameco (-0.0)


RYAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RYAN  Ryan Specialty (-0.0)


GFS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GFS  GlobalFoundries (0.0)


FOXF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXF  Fox Factory (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AFMD



CME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CME  CME (-0.51)


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (-0.52)


CQP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CQP  Cheniere Energy (-0.57)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.6)


UUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUP  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.62)





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