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ALEX Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: ALEX shows potential due to predicted stabilization at $20 with favorable earnings on the horizon, driving sentiment and demand. High implied volatility indicates a market expectation of upward price movement in the near term.

Bearish Case: Macroeconomic uncertainties may lead to significant downward pressure on ALEX. The high current volatility combined with fundamental concerns suggests a 15% chance of substantial price drops below $17 within the next quarter.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Price stabilizes around $20 (40%);

2. Positive earnings propel ALEX to $22 (30%);

3. Broader market correction drops ALEX to ~$15 (30%).

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November 17, 2024

Alexander & Baldwin Forecast

ALEX Alexander & Baldwin

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALEX

COMM CommScope (0.87)

RDFN Redfin (0.85)

EVGO EVgo (0.84)

EPR EPR Properties (0.82)

XEL Xcel Energy (0.81)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALEX

SRRK Scholar Rock (0.0)

BHF Brighthouse Financial (-0.0)

OUST Ouster (0.01)

OGN Organon (0.01)

FLNG Flex Lng (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALEX

GNTX Gentex (-0.76)

CTRA Coterra Energy (-0.77)

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.78)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.8)

ABNB Airbnb (-0.81)

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