ALEX Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The ALEX options implied volatility shows potential for significant upward price movement, driven by strategic real estate developments and positive sentiment in social media discussions.




Bearish Case: High volatility and mixed public sentiment raise concerns about ALEX's ability to adapt and compete, with historical data suggesting limited likelihood of substantial positive returns.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Stable near $18 (50%): Moderate implied volatility.

2. Rise to $20 (25%): Strategic initiatives pay off.

3. Dip to $16 (25%): Broader market downturn.



May 02, 2025


Alexander & Baldwin Forecast

ALEX        Alexander & Baldwin











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IRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRM  Iron Mountain (0.81)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.75)


LDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LDI  LoanDepot (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALEX



DAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAC  Danaos (0.0)


NGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGS  Natural Gas Services Group (-0.0)


NOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOG  Northern Oil and Gas (0.0)


RJF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RJF  Raymond James Financial (-0.0)


ABSI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABSI  Absci (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALEX



WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.72)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.73)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.75)


TBF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBF  ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (-0.76)


PCRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PCRX  Pacira BioSciences (-0.79)









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