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AMD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AMD's new Radeon RX 9000 GPUs and Ryzen X3D processors, paired with strategic partnerships, position it strongly in AI and gaming markets, supporting long-term growth.

Bearish Case: High competition from Nvidia, combined with geopolitical and regulatory risks, could limit AMD's growth potential, as indicated by high implied volatility.

Potential Outcomes: 55% Chance: AI and data center growth boosts AMD's performance.
30% Chance: Export restrictions and competition pressure earnings.
15% Chance: Tech sector volatility impacts negatively.

March 18, 2025

Advanced Micro Devices Forecast

AMD Advanced Micro Devices

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AMD

BHP BHP Group Limited (0.89)

HUN Huntsman (0.87)

PPG PPG Industries (0.85)

CNI Canadian National Railway (0.85)

TAN Invesco Solar (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AMD

LDOS Leidos (0.0)

TAL TAL Education (0.01)

DV DoubleVerify (0.01)

SG Sweetgreen (-0.01)

HAS Hasbro (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AMD

AVXL Anavex Life Sciences (-0.76)

CRS Carpenter Technology (-0.76)

VIRT Virtu Financial (-0.79)

ORI Old Republic International (-0.8)

BKSY BlackSky Technology (-0.83)

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