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AME Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Increased investor confidence combined with upcoming product innovations could drive demand, pushing AME prices up. A near-term rally is plausible if existing trends in earnings growth persist.

Bearish Case: Prolonged insider selling and recent negative analyst sentiment may lead to declining prices. If historical patterns of mean reversion take effect, we could see significant drops in AME's stock value.

Potential Outcomes: Ongoing insider selling affects investor confidence (30%).
Positive quarterly earnings ignite price rally (40%).
Unforeseen market volatility leads to turbulence (30%).

Trading Oracle: Given the recent mean-reverting price action of AME and historical success when volatility is elevated, consider implementing a debit spread by buying AME 01/17/2025 190.00 C and selling AME 01/17/2025 195.00 C. This leverages potential upside with manageable risk over the coming months while capitalizing on higher implied volatility levels.

December 11, 2024

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AME Ametek

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AME

TRMB Trimble (0.87)

XPO XPO Logistics (0.77)

CG Carlyle (0.77)

CPRT Copart (0.75)

EMR Emerson Electric (0.75)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AME

OUST Ouster (-0.0)

JOBY Joby Aviation (0.0)

PANW Palo Alto Networks (0.0)

AVDL Avadel Pharmaceuticals (0.0)

BGS B&G Foods (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AME

BIIB Biogen (-0.49)

PDD Pinduoduo (-0.53)

TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.53)

AMED Amedisys (-0.55)

TWO Two Harbors Investment (-0.6)

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