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AMH Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AMH is resilient, with strong demand in single-family rentals and potential institutional backing, pointing towards gradual price recovery in a stabilizing housing market.

Bearish Case: Rising interest rates and market uncertainty could further suppress AMH's growth, exacerbated by high debt and insider sales, with limited short-term upside.

Potential Outcomes: Mean reversion continues (60%)
Short-term economic pressures drive prices lower (30%)
Increased institutional interest boosts prices (10%)

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January 31, 2025

American Homes 4 Rent Forecast

AMH American Homes 4 Rent

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AMH

EIX Edison International (0.79)

FE Firstenergy (0.72)

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.67)

ICE Intercontinental Exchange (0.67)

KBH KB Home (0.66)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AMH

WRBY Warby Parker (0.0)

WY Weyerhaeuser (0.0)

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.01)

ONTO Onto Innovation (-0.01)

DBX Dropbox (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AMH

DAN Dana (-0.62)

TRIP TripAdvisor (-0.64)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (-0.65)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.67)

ABCL AbCellera Biologics (-0.69)

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