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AMZN Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Amazon's robust AWS revenue, healthcare expansions, and innovative tech investments foster optimism for sustainable growth, supporting a bullish outlook.



Bearish Case: Regulatory scrutiny, rising operational costs, and intensifying competition may pressure Amazon's margins, posing a bearish risk.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Regulatory challenges impact operations (40%).
  • Strong AWS growth boosts revenues (60%).
  • Competition reduces market share (50%).



Trading Oracle: Implement a Bullish Short Volatility strategy. The flat term structure, with Helium's implied volatility lower than the market's, offers edge in shorting volatility, leveraging positive options sentiment and AWS growth.


April 03, 2025


Amazon.com Forecast

AMZN        Amazon.com

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