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ARCC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ARCC is poised for growth with stable implied volatility and consistent historical returns. Strategic investments and solid yield underpin potential upside.

Bearish Case: Economic uncertainties and elevated volatility pose risks to ARCC. Rising interest rates could pressure margins, impacting future returns.

Potential Outcomes: 35% ARCC growth if economic stability occurs, 45% market volatility lowers returns, and 20% downturn due to external shocks.

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February 21, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ARCC

MAIN Main Street (0.84)

UAL United Airlines (0.84)

SCHW Charles Schwab (0.83)

WRBY Warby Parker (0.83)

CRK Comstock Resources (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ARCC

RDFN Redfin (-0.0)

TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care (0.0)

CWEN Clearway Energy (0.0)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.0)

RACE Ferrari (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ARCC

LEN Lennar (-0.71)

FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (-0.74)

CAL Caleres (-0.74)

HII Huntington Ingalls Industries (-0.76)

IQV IQVIA (-0.82)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.