AVUV Forecast


Bullish Case: AVUV outperforms through diversification, high profitability ratios, and a history of strong sectoral returns. Bullish risk is also 24% higher across all tenors [Helium].


Bearish Case: High put options volume and recent downward trend raise concerns of potential downside. Decrease in price by -2.9% last month adds caution [Helium].


Potential Outcomes: Price tape between $85-$95 in the near term holds a 60% probability. Extended volatility may enhance likelihood of breakout, either bullish or bearish.


Trading Oracle: Trade bull debit spreads on AVUV for next 3 months. High implied volatility suggests long positions in ITM call spreads with 86/90 strikes. Maximize profit potential with greater focus on high-vol sectors and timely monitoring of market vol changes.


July 03, 2024


American Century ETF Trust - Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value Forecast

AVUV      American Century ETF Trust - Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AVUV



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.45)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.55)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.61)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AVUV



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.45)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.55)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.61)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AVUV



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.45)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.55)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.61)





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