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AXTA Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: AXTA's recent flat price suggests potential for recovery, driven by low implied volatility and positive market sentiment. Historical data indicates strong upside potential with a favorable earnings report on the horizon.

Bearish Case: Persistent market uncertainty and elevated implied volatility could hinder AXTA’s price growth. Ongoing tariff threats and economic headwinds loom large, risking downside momentum.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 60% chance of price rebound due to earnings exceeding expectations.

2. 30% chance of stagnation due to tariffs affecting profits.

3. 10% chance of sharp decline from adverse economic developments.

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November 13, 2024

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AXTA Axalta Coating Systems

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AXTA

TPB Turning Point Brands (0.86)

ITA BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.86)

JXN Jackson Financial (0.84)

EVRG Evergy (0.84)

EIX Edison International (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AXTA

VLO Valero Energy (-0.0)

CLSK Cleanspark (-0.0)

WPC W. P. Carey (-0.0)

LUV Southwest Airlines (0.01)

BYD Boyd Gaming (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AXTA

CABA Cabaletta Bio (-0.76)

PGNY Progyny (-0.78)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.78)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.8)

SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.82)

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