AZN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong R&D pipeline and recent FDA approval for Imfinzi in SCLC indicate growth potential. Positive trial results enhance market standing, aligning with lower volatility by mid-2025 Helium.




Bearish Case: Regulatory setbacks with Andexxa and unfavorable market perception challenge growth. High short-term volatility and flat recent price action signal uncertainty Helium.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50%: Successful drug trials driving growth.
  • 30%: Regulatory/legal setbacks dampening performance.
  • 20%: Increased competition eroding market share.




Trading Oracle: Utilize a bullish debit spread with $67.50/$72.50 calls expiring March 2025, capitalizing on low implied volatility beyond February. Target high-probability trial outcomes with controlled risk and leverage volume favoring calls .



December 27, 2024


Astrazeneca Forecast

AZN        Astrazeneca
















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