BGFV Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: BGFV could benefit from an increase in outdoor activities, potentially driving sales growth. High implied volatility suggests room for profitable swings.




Bearish Case: Continued financial stress, possible dividend cuts, and high competition suggest BGFV may face further declines. Mean-reverting patterns historically indicate limited upside.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Dividend Cut (70%): Amplifies negative sentiment.
  • Turnaround Success (15%): Boost in confidence.
  • Acquisition Speculation (10%): Short-term trader interest.
  • M&A Activity (~5%): Low, but notable due to sector trends.



April 17, 2025


Big 5 Sporting Goods Forecast

BGFV        Big 5 Sporting Goods











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BGFV



ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (0.94)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.93)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.92)


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (0.91)


ODP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODP  ODP (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BGFV



ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.0)


HL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HL  Hecla Mining (0.0)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.03)


RVMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVMD  Revolution Medicines (0.03)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BGFV



AON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AON  Aon plc. - (-0.83)


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (-0.85)


OUNZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUNZ  VanEck Merk Gold (-0.86)


FOXA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXA  Fox Corporation - (-0.87)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.89)









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