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BGFV Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: BGFV could experience a rebound if successful strategic initiatives increase online sales and merchandise margin optimization continues, with potential higher demand for outdoor activities.

Bearish Case: Persistent competition from e-commerce, potential dividend cuts, and historical mean-reverting patterns suggest BGFV may face further declines amidst challenging market conditions.

Potential Outcomes: Dividend cut (70%): Drives price lower.
Turnaround initiatives succeed (20%): Boosts confidence and price.
M&A speculation (10%): Triggers short-term rallies.

May 20, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BGFV

ASH Ashland (0.94)

XRX Xerox (0.94)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (0.91)

CVE Cenovus Energy (0.9)

AMD Advanced Micro Devices (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BGFV

STLD Steel Dynamics (0.01)

ACMR ACM Research (0.01)

FE Firstenergy (-0.02)

WWW Wolverine World Wide (-0.02)

IRM Iron Mountain (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BGFV

UNM Unum (-0.85)

COMP Compass (-0.85)

CORT Corcept Therapeutics (-0.86)

PPL PPL (-0.86)

LRN Stride (-0.89)

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