BLK Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The potential for significant institutional inflows into crypto offerings, combined with global expansion plans, positions BlackRock for strong growth. Recent price dips present attractive entry points amid solid assets under management growth.




Bearish Case: Regulatory scrutiny on ESG practices and crypto exposure could introduce volatility. Continued outflows and market skepticism about sustainability initiatives might exert downward pressure on share prices.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Bitcoin ETF expansion drives institutional inflows (60%)
  • Regulatory challenges hinder ESG and crypto initiatives (25%)
  • Market recovery stabilizes AUM growth (15%)




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish call debit spread by buying $990 calls and selling $1010 calls, targeting March 2025 expirations. Utilize elevated short-term volatility for strategic entry. This leverages potential upside from crypto initiatives with controlled risk. High probability of profit given current volatility structure.



February 14, 2025


Blackrock Forecast

BLK        Blackrock











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BLK



NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (0.95)


UDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDOW  ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (0.94)


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (0.94)


CINF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CINF  Cincinnati Financial (0.94)


IWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWR  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BLK



EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (-0.0)


DKNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKNG  DraftKings (-0.01)


FREY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FREY  FREYR Battery (0.01)


YELP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YELP  Yelp (-0.02)


PPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPH  VanEck Pharmaceutical (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BLK



EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.85)


GSBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GSBD  Goldman Sachs BDC (-0.87)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.89)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.89)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.9)









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