BPOP Forecast


Bullish Case: BPOP shows strong historical returns, and implied volatility is lower towards year-end, suggesting potential stability and growth.


Bearish Case: High recent implied volatility and insider selling indicate potential downside risk, especially in the near term.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued market stability leading to moderate growth (30%).

2. Market correction from high volatility (25%).

3. No significant change due to neutral forecasts (45%).


Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit call spread expiring in January 2025. The term structure indicates lower implied volatility towards year-end, while recent insider selling could create a buying opportunity. This strategy has a high positive edge with favorable risk-reward dynamics.


July 14, 2024


Popular Forecast

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