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BTC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: BTC's bullish momentum backed by institutional investments, favorable options structure, and positive perception as inflation hedge. Social media narratives reinforce optimistic sentiment.

Bearish Case: Elevated put trading volume suggests bearish sentiment, coupled with volatility risks and macroeconomic uncertainties such as regulatory pressures and high volatility could trigger sell-offs.

Potential Outcomes: High chance (57%) of BTC reaching $110K by March. Potential dip to $90K (83%) indicating volatile market swings and sentiment-driven movements.

Trading Oracle: Consider a long call debit spread: buy BTC-100K-C, sell BTC-105K-C expiring February 2025. Leverage bullish sentiment with volatility edge, targeting the $110K probability. High reward:risk ratio with strategic protection against downside volatility.

January 10, 2025

Bitcoin Forecast

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