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CEF Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Increased global economic uncertainty could drive demand for safe-havens like CEF, potentially pushing prices higher as seen in past cycles where CEF returns surged, particularly in the 1-2 year holding periods.

Bearish Case: Persistently strong dollar and macroeconomic pressures may dampen demand for gold and silver, leading to stagnation or declines in CEF prices as indicated by recent flat performance trends.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 20% chance of significant price increases driven by heightened inflation fears.

2. 30% chance of modest gains reflecting historical performance trends.

3. 40% chance of flat returns due to stable conditions.

4. 10% chance of downturn spurred by global market instability.

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November 15, 2024

Sprott Physical Gold and Silver Trust Units Forecast

CEF Sprott Physical Gold and Silver Trust Units

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CEF

GLD SPDR Gold Shares (0.98)

NGD New Gold (0.97)

KGC Kinross Gold (0.97)

IAG Iamgold (0.96)

IDR Idaho Strategic Resources (0.95)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CEF

IONQ IonQ (-0.01)

JNJ Johnson & Johnson (0.01)

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (-0.01)

NET Cloudflare (0.01)

BNO United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CEF

JACK Jack In The Box (-0.89)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.9)

DLTR Dollar Tree (-0.91)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.92)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.93)

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