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CFB Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: If CFB maintains a stable operational environment post-merger, the projected synergies could drive price growth, reflecting bullish tendencies observed historically. Low implied volatility suggests minimal downside risk.



Bearish Case: Increased market uncertainty coupled with high implied volatility may trigger bearish sentiment, potentially leading to price drops, especially if regulatory challenges arise or earnings disappoint.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Price stabilization around $17 (40%);

2. Modest upward movement to $19 due to merger efficiencies (30%);

3. Decline below $16 from regulatory scares (30%).



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November 12, 2024


Crossfirst Bankshares Forecast

CFB        Crossfirst Bankshares

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CFB


INFY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INFY  Infosys (0.83)


AMGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMGN  AMGEN (0.83)


IBB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IBB  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Biotechnology (0.82)


COMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMP  Compass (0.8)


INCY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INCY  Incyte (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CFB


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (-0.0)


UUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUP  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.0)


SLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLS  SELLAS Life Sciences (0.0)


MU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MU  Micron Technology (0.01)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CFB


AZUL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZUL  Azul (-0.69)


RILY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RILY  B. Riley Financial (-0.7)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.71)


FIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FIVE  Five Below (-0.75)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.78)







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