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COUR Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Coursera's strategic partnerships and discounted offerings aim to drive user growth and revenue. If successful, coupled with lower market-than-Helium implied volatility, COUR could see an upward price trend.



Bearish Case: Mean-reverting price action, insider selling, and flat term structure suggest skepticism about Coursera's financial recovery. Increasing implied volatility could indicate uncertain future, pushing prices down.



Potential Outcomes:

1. User growth from partnerships boosts stock (40%).

2. Continued financial struggles lead to decline (35%).

3. Stagnation from offset improvements (25%).



Trading Oracle: Implement a bearish short volatility strategy expiring in ~52 days: Sell $9 calls, buy $12.5 calls. Current high implied volatility favors this approach, optimizing risk:reward with 76% profit probability.


January 02, 2025


Coursera Forecast

COUR        Coursera

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