CRUZ Forecast


Bullish Case: CRUZ's diversification across hospitality, airline, and cruise industries positions it for gains as travel demand recovers. Historically, positive returns are more probable over longer holding periods.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility suggests considerable market uncertainty. With recent performance flat and short-term decline, headwinds such as economic instability could prolong struggles.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Travel surge boosts CRUZ (+60% chance).

2. Economic downturn hits leisure spending (-30% chance).

3. Regulatory changes influence ETF sectors (-10% chance).


Trading Oracle: Initiate bull put spreads; focus on short-term expiry options due to high implied volatility. Target strikes $20-$22. High IV allows for premium capture. Strategy leverages bullish market sentiment and mitigates risks of sharp declines.


June 26, 2024


ETF Series Solutions Trust - Defiance Hotel, Airline, and Cruise Forecast

CRUZ      ETF Series Solutions Trust - Defiance Hotel, Airline, and Cruise











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