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CRUZ Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong travel demand recovery, evidenced by favorable historical returns over certain periods, could drive CRUZ higher.

Bearish Case: Economic uncertainties and high implied volatility suggest caution, with potential negative impact on discretionary travel spending.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Travel demand surge (65% chance).

2. Economic slowdown impacts leisure (25% chance).

3. Geopolitical tensions (10% chance).

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread on CRUZ using high implied volatility; target strikes $27-$29 with short expiration. Focus leverages anticipated travel rebound with defined risk.

February 18, 2025

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Assets that tend to move strongly with CRUZ

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IONQ IonQ (0.93)

LYV Live Nation Entertainment (0.91)

ARKK ARK Innovation (0.91)

DAL Delta Air Lines (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CRUZ

PARA Paramount Global (-0.01)

ENVX Enovix (0.01)

ETR Entergy (-0.01)

FE Firstenergy (0.02)

ESTC Elastic (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CRUZ

VAL Valaris (-0.73)

ST Sensata (-0.74)

BIIB Biogen (-0.76)

VSAT Viasat (-0.78)

CAL Caleres (-0.79)

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