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CUBA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Potential easing of U.S. sanctions could drive tourism and investment, with historical trends suggesting possibilities of reversal in CUBA's fortunes.

Bearish Case: Continued geopolitical tensions and inconsistent reforms increase risks of further economic isolation, aligning with historical trends showing predominant negative returns.

Potential Outcomes: Sanctions Easing (30%): Leads to recovery.
Continued Tensions (50%): Results in further decline.
Political Changes (20%): Trigger short-term rallies.

March 12, 2025

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Forecast

CUBA Herzfeld Caribbean Basin

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CUBA

CRSR Corsair Gaming (0.8)

LZ LegalZoom.com (0.78)

HES Hess (0.76)

ACI Albertsons Companies (0.74)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (0.74)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CUBA

FND Floor & Decor (0.0)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (0.0)

RRR Red Rock Resorts (-0.01)

BYRN Byrna (0.01)

AVY Avery Dennison (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CUBA

BBY Best Buy (-0.7)

INSG Inseego (-0.71)

FE Firstenergy (-0.74)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.78)

EIX Edison International (-0.8)

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