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CXW Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Increased governmental contracts can significantly uplift CXW's revenue, supported by favorable political winds post-election, and an anticipated surge in inmate populations. High current implied volatility indicates potential for notable upward price movement.

Bearish Case: Regulatory scrutiny and ongoing litigation risks undermine investor confidence, compounded by market volatility signals suggesting heightened uncertainty. Lease expirations could further pressure earnings adversely.

Potential Outcomes:

1. New contracts boost revenue: 50%;

2. Regulatory pressures impact operations: 25%;

3. Lease expirations harm income: 20%;

4. Positive legal outcomes enhance investor sentiment: 5%.

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November 21, 2024

CoreCivic Forecast

CXW CoreCivic

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CXW

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NICE NICE (0.66)

HP Helmerich & Payne (0.65)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CXW

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (0.0)

IJH BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (-0.0)

CMI Cummins (-0.0)

CZR Caesars Entertainment (-0.0)

SGMO Sangamo Therapeutics (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CXW

EXR Extra Space Storage (-0.52)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.53)

CIM Chimera Investment (-0.54)

MPWR Monolithic Power System (-0.57)

LTPZ PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index Exchange-Traded (-0.58)

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