CXW Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: CoreCivic's business growth fueled by new contracts and strong government relationships indicates potential revenue boosting, aligning with bullish probabilities in options data.




Bearish Case: Concerns over lease expirations and regulatory pressures highlight potential earnings impacts, evidenced by increased put trading volume and historical volatility exposure.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Revenue growth from new contracts: 55% chance.
  • Negative regulatory impact: 25% chance.
  • Significant lease expirations: 15% chance.




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April 22, 2025


CoreCivic Forecast

CXW        CoreCivic











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