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DALI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: DALI's adaptive strategy and potential market recovery present upside, with strong historical returns if economic conditions stabilize. The mean-reverting trend and diversified approach could benefit from reducing market turbulence.

Bearish Case: Current litigation and market uncertainties create a negative sentiment, possibly leading to further downside. The mean-reverting nature and recent price drop highlight the volatility risks, compounded by economic instability.

Potential Outcomes: Economic recovery boosts DALI: 30% chance.
Persistent litigation issues create delays: 40% chance.
Policy shifts impact market sentiment: 20% chance.
Unexpected geopolitical events disrupt markets: 10% chance.

April 13, 2025

First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund VI - First Trust Dorsey Wright DALI 1 Forecast

DALI First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund VI - First Trust Dorsey Wright DALI 1

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DALI

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.98)

IVV BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.97)

IWP BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap Growth (0.96)

KKR KKR (0.91)

AIT Applied Industrial (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DALI

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.01)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.01)

VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.01)

CUBE CubeSmart (0.02)

SAN Banco Santander (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DALI

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.69)

XRAY DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.7)

RCKT Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.71)

STM New York Shares (-0.72)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.74)

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